Global Leadership Monitor Fall 2023 - Russell Reynolds Associate

Global Leadership Monitor H2 2024

A BI-ANNUAL GLOBAL SURVEY OF OVER 4,000 LEADERS
Highest ranked threats
#1 Uncertain economic growth
#2 The availability of key talent and skills
NOTABLE DROP IN LEADERSHIP PREPAREDNESS
16 percentage point drop in leaders’ preparedness
to face tech change since H2 2022
Emerging threat
42% of leaders selected
workforce transformation as a top threat

Global Leadership Monitor H2 2024

Learn how these findings impact your organization.
% of leaders ranking each item as a top five issue impacting organizational health in the next 12-18 months

Uncertain economic growth

59%

Availability of key talent/skills

57%

Technological change

54%

Workforce transformation

42%

Increased regulation

40%

Geopolitical uncertainty

37%

Changes in consumer behavior

35%

Cyber threats

29%

Policy uncertainty

28%

Commodity price volatility

21%

Economic uncertainty, closely followed by the availability of key talent and skills, are the highest-ranked threats to organizational health in the next 12-18 months, with 59% and 57% of executives selecting each respective issue as a top threat.

Technological change also ranked highly, with 54% of executives indicating it will be a top impact to organizational health in the coming months.

Workforce transformation debuts as a key priority to organizational health, with 42% of leaders selecting it as a top five threat, and increased regulation remains a top-five concern at 40%.
% of leaders ranking each item as a top five issue impacting organizational health in the next 12-18 months

Climate change and environmental damage

18%

Reputational damage

15%

Populism in politics

11%

Trade conflicts

9%

Protectionism

9%

Taxation

9%

Exchange rate volatility

8%

Investor activism

7%

Diversity, equity, and inclusion

7%

Rising wealth inequality

5%

Economic uncertainty, closely followed by the availability of key talent and skills, are the highest-ranked threats to organizational health in the next 12-18 months, with 59% and 57% of executives selecting each respective issue as a top threat.

Technological change also ranked highly, with 54% of executives indicating it will be a top impact to organizational health in the coming months.

Workforce transformation debuts as a key priority to organizational health, with 42% of leaders selecting it as a top five threat, and increased regulation remains a top-five concern at 40%.
% of leaders ranking each item as a top five issue impacting organizational health in the next 12-18 months

Select External Threat


Uncertain economic growth Availability of key talent Tech change Increased regulation Changes in consumer behavior Geopolitical uncertainty Cyber threats Policy uncertainty Commodity price volatility Climate/environmental change Exchange rate volatility Trade conflicts Investor activism Diversity, equity, and inclusion Taxation Rising wealth inequality Protectionism Populism
Uncertain economic growth and the availability of key talent and skills have consistently ranked as top threats to organizational health over the past two years.

Despite a slight dip in 2022, technological change has remained a top threat to organizational health since the beginning of 2021. Over the past six months, this has remained a top-five concern.

While still a top-five threat, the perceived threat of geopolitical uncertainty to organizational health has dipped in the past six months, with 37% of leaders selecting it as a top-five threat.
% of leaders selecting threats as a top 5 issue vs ​% of leaders reporting their leadership team is prepared or very prepared

EXTERNAL THREATS

TOP EXTERNAL THREATS

L6M*

% PREPARED OR VERY PREPARED

L6M*

1. Uncertain economic growth

59%

-5%

41%

-1%

2. Availability of key talent

57%

-6%

40%

+1%

3. Technological change

54%

+1%

47%

-7%

4. Workforce transformation

42%

-

38%

-

5. Increased regulation

40%

-3%

54%

-1%

6. Geopolitical uncertainty

37%

-8%

32%

+1%

7. Changes in consumer behavior

35%

-3%

47%

-1%

8. Cyber threats

29%

-2%

72%

+5%

9. Policy uncertainty

28%

-2%

39%

-1%

10. Commodity price volatility

21%

-2%

56%

-1%

Leadership preparedness to face tech change has reported the biggest drop of all top five threats in the last six months, falling by 7 percentage points to 47% in H2 2024.

Less than half of leaders feel their leadership team is prepared to address economic uncertainty and the availability of key talent and skills, despite them being the top perceived threats to organizational health.

Only 38% of leaders feel their leadership team is prepared to address workforce transformation; whereas leaders tend to feel that their leadership team is more prepared to address cyber threats and increased regulation, with 72% and 54% stating that they’re prepared to face these respective concerns.
% of leaders selecting threats as top 5 issue vs ​% of leaders reporting leadership team is prepared or very prepared

EXTERNAL THREATS

TOP EXTERNAL THREATS

L6M*

% PREPARED OR VERY PREPARED

L6M*

11.

Climate/Environmental change

18%

-4%

58%

+3%

12.

Reputational damage

15%

-

55%

-

13.

Populism in politics

11%

+5%

25%

+7%

14.

Trade conflicts

9%

-2%

37%

0%

15.

Protectionism

9%

+2%

38%

+14%

16.

Taxation

9%

+1%

44%

-4%

17.

Exchange rate volatility

8%

-2%

55%

+5%

18.

Investor activism

7%

-1%

49%

+2%

19.

Diversity, equity, and inclusion

7%

-1%

64%

+14%

20.

Rising wealth inequality

5%

-1%

31%

+1%

Leadership preparedness to face tech change has reported the biggest drop of all top five threats in the last six months, falling by 7 percentage points to 47% in H2 2024.

Less than half of leaders feel their leadership team is prepared to address economic uncertainty and the availability of key talent and skills, despite them being the top perceived threats to organizational health.

Only 38% of leaders feel their leadership team is prepared to address workforce transformation; whereas leaders tend to feel that their leadership team is more prepared to address cyber threats and increased regulation, with 72% and 54% stating that they’re prepared to face these respective concerns.
% leaders reporting leadership team is prepared or very prepared to address external threat

Select External Threat


Uncertain economic growth Availability of key talent Tech change Increased regulation Changes in consumer behavior Geopolitical uncertainty Cyber threats Policy uncertainty Commodity price volatility Climate/environmental change Exchange rate volatility Trade conflicts Investor activism Diversity, equity, and inclusion Taxation Rising wealth inequality Protectionism Populism
Leadership preparedness to face the top threats was significantly higher in 2021, but has (with some exceptions) consistently fallen in the last three years. Tech change in particular has reported a notable decrease—falling 16 percentage points since H2 2022.

In the last six months, leadership preparedness to address uncertain economic growth and the availability of key talent and skills, while still low, has remained relatively stable.

 

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How are leaders navigating the evolving technological and talent landscape?

Amid volatility on all fronts, which external business issues are leaders most concerned about? And where are they investing their time and energy to find a way forward?

 

To get a pulse on the top external threats leaders face today—and how prepared they are to manage them—we surveyed more than 4,000 global board directors, CEOs, C-suite leaders, and next-generation leaders across various industries. Here’s what we learned.

 

 

01. Leaders are feeling increasingly less prepared to face tech change

At a time when generative AI has dominated the leadership landscape, it’s unsurprising that 54% of leaders identified technological change—AI, machine learning, big data, robotics, IoT, and 3D printing—as a top five threat to organizational health. And given the rapid, ongoing AI market changes, as well as the onslaught of cascading information that follows, leaders feel increasingly less prepared to face this threat. In the last six months alone, there has been a seven-percentage point decrease in leadership preparedness to 47%, and since the second half of 2022, there has been a 16-percentage point decline. 

 

However, leadership preparedness varies considerably by region. In Asia, leaders feel more prepared to face the threat of tech change than those in Oceania, at 55% and 41%, respectively. Less than half of the leaders we surveyed in the Americas (46%) and Europe (48%) feel prepared to deal with technological change.

 

The global decline in leadership preparedness reflects the growing complexity and pace of technological innovation, demanding that leaders not only keep pace with new developments, but also strategically integrate them into their business models. The pervasive nature of this challenge is further illustrated by the fact that 93% of CEOs and C-suite leaders acknowledge the need for some or a complete change in the technology at their organization.

 

 

 

02. Leaders continue to be concerned about the availability of talent and skills

The availability of key talent and skills is a significant concern for leaders, with 57% identifying it as a top five threat. Even though it has consistently ranked as a top five threat since 2021, a troubling leadership preparedness gap is still evident, with only 40% of leaders feeling ready to address this concern. 

 

Leaders are not only concerned by the availability of talent, but also by whether the talent they have is equipped to face what’s next. Our research shows that an overwhelming 95% of CEOs and C-suite leaders feel that their employees’ skills need a partial or complete overhaul.

 

The most noteworthy group that leaders flagged as needing a skills transformation? Senior leaders themselves. A staggering 89% of global CEOs and C-suite leaders felt that their own senior leadership team needs to meaningfully change, and roughly one in five global leaders think a complete change is needed at the senior leadership team level.

 

The continued decline in preparedness to address talent and skills shortages (despite this being a consistent threat), combined with the emerging necessity for skills overhaul, shows an urgent need for leaders to set strategy addressing this issue. 

 

 

 

03. Workforce transformation emerges as a top five threat for leaders

In its debut on our external threats list, workforce transformation—the emergence or decline of new jobs, reskilling, shifting expectations of work, and new models of employment—is already a top five leadership concern. Despite 42% of leaders ranking workforce transformation as a critical threat to organizational health, only 38% of leaders feel prepared to face this risk, making it the top five threat that leaders feel least prepared to address. 

 

When we asked leaders for the primary reason their workforce needs to transform, technology was the number one answer, followed closely by cost and profitability. 

 

CEOs are more confident than C-suite leaders—59% compared to 45%—in their organization’s ability to transform their workforce to meet changing needs. To navigate this transformative period successfully, fostering a culture of continuous learning, flexibility, and innovation will be crucial.

 

 

 

04. Regulatory challenges remain high on the leadership agenda, and leaders’ previously high preparedness levels dip   

While increased regulation has consistently ranked within the top 10 most cited threats for leaders, it surged into the top five in the second half of 2024, with 40% of leaders selecting it as a major concern. The financial services sector is particularly focused on this issue, with 58% of its leaders identifying increased regulation as a top threat. And leaders’ preparedness to face this concern has dropped to 54%—an 11-percentage point decline within the past year. As the regulatory environment continues to shift, businesses must prioritize agility and proactive compliance strategies to stay ahead of the curve and mitigate potential risks. 

 

 

 

05. Leadership preparedness to address economic uncertainty continues to fall

Economic uncertainty remains the highest-ranked ranked threat impacting organizational health over the coming year, with 59% of global leaders selecting it as a top five threat. Despite its perennial status as a top five threat since we began tracking this data in the first half of 2021, leaders’ preparedness to face this issue remains low at 41%. This stark reality underscores the need for strategies that incorporate comprehensive risk assessments and built-in flexibility to adapt to market changes.

 

This is particularly true among leaders in the professional services and consumer sectors, with 70% and 68% of leaders, respectively, identifying economic uncertainty as a critical business challenge. 

 

 

Explore the data in your region, industry, and role

Did you know that uncertain economic growth is more of a concern for leaders in Asia than other geographic regions? Or that workforce transformation is seen as more of a threat in the Americas than other parts of the world?

 

Find out what the top threats are for your region, country, industry, and role—and leaders' preparedness to face them.

Download data

What is the Global Leadership Monitor?

The Global Leadership Monitor is Russell Reynolds Associates’ bi-annual survey of global business leaders, tracking key threats to organizational health and leaders’ preparedness to face them.

What are global business leaders most concerned about in 2024?

In our H2 2024 survey of more than 4,000 leaders globally, senior business leaders cited the following top threats to organizational health in the next 12-18 months:

Are global business leaders prepared for economic uncertainty in 2024?

Our research shows that senior leaders’ preparedness to address uncertain economic growth has been steadily declining since the beginning of 2023, from 58% of leaders prepared to address it in H1 2023 to 41% in H2 2024.

Are global business leaders prepared for talent and skills shortages in 2024?

Since the beginning of 2021, less than half of senior leaders have felt prepared to address the availability of key talent and skills. And in the last year alone, leadership preparedness dropped from 47% to 40%.

Are global business leaders prepared for AI and tech disruption in 2024?

Concerns over technological change have been on the rise since H2 2022, rising from 32% of leaders reporting it as a top concern to 54% in H2 2024. Simultaneously, preparedness dropped by 7 percentage points in the past 6 months, from 54% of leaders feeling ready to address this in the beginning of 2024 to 47% in H2 2024. This includes concerns about AI, machine learning, big data, robotics, IoT, and 3D printing.

Do global business leaders have a strong grasp of how workforce transformation is impacting their business in 2024?

A new addition to our external factors’ consideration in H2 2024, workforce transformation debuted as the fourth highest ranked external business threat, with 42% reporting it as a top five concern for them over the next 12-18 months. Only 38% of leaders feel prepared to face this risk, making it the top five threat that leaders feel least prepared to address.

What is the sentiment among global business leaders around regulations in 2024?

The impact of increasing regulation on organizational health has stabilized since this time last year, with 40% of leaders reporting this as a top five concern in H2 2024, compared to 43% in H1 2024. Preparedness has remained steady for the past six months, with 54% of leaders feeling prepared to address regulatory change, compared to 55% at the start of 2024. However, longer-term preparedness has declined 11 percentage points since H2 2023.

Why is leadership preparedness for external business threats so low?

Leadership preparedness to face the top external business threats continues to decline, as leaders are faced with multiple competing priorities. Today’s leaders are tasked with piloting and implementing AI, managing continued political and economic uncertainty, as well as dealing with high leadership turnover, among other priorities. Amid this continued volatility, it’s unsurprising leaders are feeling significantly less prepared.

 

How our leadership advisors can help


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We’re well-versed in guiding organizations through change. If your leaders are concerned about weathering economic uncertainty, navigating technological change, or looking for guidance on how to engage and retain your leadership team, our advisors are here to help.


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About Global Leadership Monitor


The Global Leadership Monitor is a global survey of boards, CEOs, CxOs, and next-generation leaders that tracks key threats to organizational health and leadership preparedness to face them.


Methodology

 

About the Authors and the CLI team


Tom Handcock, Beth Hawley, and Gabrielle Lieberman  of RRA’s Center for Leadership Insight conducted the research and authored this report.

 

The authors wish to thank the 4,000+ leaders from RRA’s global network who completed the 2024 Global Leadership Monitor. Their responses to the survey have contributed greatly to our understanding of leadership in 2024 and beyond.

 

Learn more about the team

 

 

 

Global Leadership Monitor

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